Latest track, spaghetti models for Tropical Storm Ernesto (2024)

2018 TO 2022. HERE’S A LIVE LOOK OUTSIDE OF GREENVILLE RIGHT NOW. IT’S A MILD NIGHT TAKING SHAPE 79 DEGREES. WE GOT EAST SOUTHEAST WINDS AT FIVE MILES PER HOUR. THE DEW POINT IS PRETTY HIGH 72. SO THERE IS SOME MUGGINESS TO THE AIR, GIVING US A FEW SHOWERS HERE AND THERE. NORTHERN PICKENS, NORTHERN OCONEE HAS BEEN WHERE IT’S BEEN AT TODAY. THE REST OF US HAVE REMAINED DRY AND GIVING YOU A RAIN UPDATE. I KNOW MY YARD COULD USE A LITTLE BIT MORE. PARTS OF GREENVILLE HAD FIVE INCHES ON FRIDAY ALONE. NOW WE ARE SITTING PRETTY RIGHT NOW FOR THIS MONTH. WE’RE ABOUT A QUARTER OF AN INCH ABOVE NORMAL, BUT FOR THE SEASON WE’RE STILL BEHIND BY THREE INCHES. BECAUSE OF THAT VERY DRY JUNE. I DON’T LOOK FOR US TO PICK UP MUCH RAIN THIS WEEK, SOME HERE AND THERE TOMORROW, AND THEN IT’S PRETTY DRY THE REST OF THE WEEK. 79 IN GREENVILLE, LIKE I MENTIONED, 78 IN ANDERSON IS 75 IN SPARTANBURG. FEELS MORE LIKE 82 OUTSIDE. AND WHEN YOU LOOK AT TOMORROW MORNING, WE’LL SEE SOME CLOUDS, A SPOTTY SHOWER HERE OR THERE. TOMORROW IS NOT A WASHOUT, BUT IN THE MORNING HOURS THAT’S GOING TO BE OUR BEST CHANCE. AND REALLY, THERE’S A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AT ANY GIVEN TIME. BETTER CHANCES IN THE MORNING, BUT THEY’RE VERY SPOTTY. NOT EVERYBODY IS GOING TO SEE IT TOMORROW. IT WILL LOOK A LOT LIKE THIS WITH SOME SHOWERS HERE OR THERE TOMORROW AFTERNOON. AS A LITTLE PIECE OF ENERGY ROLLS OUR WAY. 82 WILL BE THE HIGH IN GREENVILLE, 87 IN ANDERSON AND 80 DEGREES IN ASHEVILLE. TEMPERATURES KEPT A GOOD BIT COOLER TOMORROW DUE TO THE SPOTTY SHOWERS THAT WE’LL HAVE AROUND AGAIN. LET ME SHOW YOU THE COVERAGE OF IT WITH THIS BRAND NEW COMPUTER MODEL. IT’S NOT GREAT TONIGHT, BUT I WOULDN’T BE SURPRISED IF YOU HEAR SOME RUMBLE OF THUNDER. THE PITTER PATTER OF SOME RAIN TONIGHT. IT WON’T BE WIDESPREAD, BUT BY 8:00 IN THE MORNING, THERE’S STILL SOME SHOWERS CROPPING UP ACROSS THE AREA. MOST OF THAT ACTIVITY MOVES OFF TO THE EAST, AND WE’LL SEE A BETTER DAY WITH SOME SUNSHINE MIXED IN WITH SOME OF THOSE CLOUDS. AND AS WE GO DEEPER INTO THE FUTURE, BY TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY, WE’RE INFUSING IN SOME DRIER AIR. SO THE REST OF THE WEEK LOOKS TO BE MUCH, MUCH DRIER WITH COMFORTABLE AIR. NOW WE’RE SITTING IN THE MID 80S ALL WEEK LONG, BUT THE DIFFERENCE WITH WEDNESDAY THURSDAY WILL BE THE HUMIDITY WON’T BE AS HIGH, SO IT’LL EVEN FEEL BETTER THAN IT DID TODAY WHEN WE HAD THE HIGH HUMIDITY. WE’RE BACK TO 88 ON FRIDAY, WHICH IS ACTUALLY PRETTY CLOSE TO WHERE WE SHOULD BE. THIS TIME OF THE YEAR. BIG PICTURE WHAT’S HAPPENING THIS WEEK IS A NORTHWEST WIND IS KICKING IN THAT BRINGS IN SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR FORCE AT THE SAME TIME, IT’S A PRETTY ACTIVE PATTERN WHEN YOU COME INTO THE MIDWEST. SOME OF THESE UPPER LEVEL PIECES OF ENERGY, LIKE THIS ONE RIGHT HERE ON THURSDAY, TRYING TO MAKE A RUN FOR THE MOUNTAINS AND WILL LIKELY GIVE THE MOUNTAINS A DOWNPOUR OR TWO, BUT DOESN’T QUITE SURVIVE THE TRIP DOWN THE MOUNTAIN INTO THE UPSTATE. SO WE’LL LOOK FOR A SPOTTY STORM OR SPOTTY SHOWER OR TWO BY THE LATE WEEK. BUT MOST OF US STAY DRY. TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO DESIGNATED EARLIER TODAY WITH THAT TROPICAL WAVE. WE’VE BEEN WATCHING. IT WILL IMPACT THE ISLANDS TONIGHT FROM SAINT MARTIN UP THROUGH SAINT LUCIA. SAINT THOMAS INTO PARTS OF PUERTO RICO, INTO TOMORROW AS A TROPICAL STORM. AND THEN ONCE IT POPS BACK OUT IN THE ATLANTIC, IT BECOMES A STRONG HURRICANE, POSSIBLY THREATENING BERMUDA. DEAD ON THERE WITH WINDS UP TO 110MPH. RIGHT NOW, THE COMPUTER MODELS THAT JUST CAME IN CONFIRMING THAT WE DON’T HAVE MUCH TO WORRY ABOUT WITH THIS ONE AS IT’S STAYING WAY OUT TO SEA. THE STEERING CURRENTS ARE PRETTY LOCKED RIGHT NOW, BUT YOU KNOW, I’M KEEPING A CLOSE EYE ON IT. LATEST EUROPEAN MODEL SHOWS A TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OVER THE ISLANDS, GETTING CLOSE TO THE TURKS AND CAICOS. THEN IT MAKES THAT NORTHERLY TURN. OF COURSE, I’LL BE WATCHING TO MAKE SURE THAT NORTHERLY TURN HAPPENS THIS WEEK, AND I’LL KEEP YOU POSTED. THE FOUR DAY LOOKS LIKE THIS SPOTTY SHOWERS TOMORROW HERE AND THERE, ESPECIALLY IN THE MORNING. 84 WILL BE THE HIGH THEN DRYING OUT. LOTS OF SUNSHINE. THE REST OF THE WEEK. TEMPERATURES INCHING BACK NEAR 90, BUT EACH DAY AT OR BELOW NORMAL OVER THE NEXT WEEK. QUITE COMFORTABLE ACTUALLY. AND THE MOUNTAINS WILL SAY THE SAME STORY. MAYBE TEMPERATURES JUST A LITTLE